Wizard's Simulcast Best Bets Sample
THE WIZARD'S NATIONAL SIMULCAST BEST BETS - JANUARY 23, 1999
* INDEX TO APPROXIMATE POST TIMES (CONVERTED TO EASTERN TIME)
12:56 AQUEDUCT 2
1:10 TURFWAY 1
1:12 LAUREL 3
2:29 TURFWAY 4
2:47 GULFSTREAM 5
2:57 AQUEDUCT 6
3:08 LAUREL 7
3:25 AQUEDUCT 7
3:30 SANTA ANITA 1
3:45 FAIR GROUNDS 6
4:07 GULFSTREAM 8
4:21 TURFWAY 8
4:41 FAIR GROUNDS 8
5:03 SANTA ANITA 4
5:28 GULFSTREAM 11
6:36 SANTA ANITA 7
7:07 SANTA ANITA 8
* REMEMBER! POST TIMES ARE SUBJECT TO CHANGE. PLEASE CONFIRM.
>READER'S NOTE: All horses wagered to win are at odds of 8-5
or higher unless specified otherwise.
AQUEDUCT: POST TIMES 12:56, 2:57, 3:25 ET
(1) ROVING EYE (Race Two) This son of Silver Deputy appears to
be well spotted to break his maiden in his third career start.
Trainer Angel Penna, Jr. sharpened the colt in his sprint debut
November 28, versus a very good field. Stretched out December 27
Roving Eye raced closest to the pace, made the lead in upper
stretch, then weakened to Wafare Warrior, who came right back to
beat winners with authority. Roving Eye gets the rail, and the
cutback to 1 1/16th miles should suit him perfectly. Gryder
sticks.
(5) BIG STEEL-showed good speed contesting the pace in his
December 13 debut despite getting a tardy start. Got stuck down
on the rail January 2 behind a wire to wire winner. Half brother
to a pair of route winners.
(2) OUTRIGHT GENIUS-unleashed a monsterous finish is his debut,
which came at the difficult seven furlong distance. Trainer Mary
Eppler is much better second time out, and she signs up top bug
Ariel Smith.
WAGERING: Main 1-5 exacta. Smaller 1/2-6. Save with quinellas.
(7) LONG DISTANCE LAD (Race Six) Speedy four year old had been
off more than ten months when he returned December 5. In that
event he dueled with a pace rival that had a conditioning edge,
and put him away through strong fractions. Drew off with
authority. That race has produced a pair of solid winners
already, making it a "key" race. If there should be moisture in
the track, that should be no problem. Long Distance Lad's
previous wet track races came versus powerful mud freaks in top
form.
(2) EMILYS DAD-returns to New York bred company after making a
wide middle move versus open company Jan 7. Chased superior
speed December 12 and got shuffled back in mid-race, coming
again for the place. Inside post.
(6) JADED MONEY-returns. Repeats the route to sprint turnback
that produced his big maiden win at this distance. Followed that
up with two more good efforts at 6f, including a huge win
November 20. Gets Ariel Smith.
WAGERING: Main 7-2 exacta. Smaller 7/6-4.
(6) STAR ON FIRE (Race Seven) Came off the layoff December 26
when trainer Joe Orseno was in the midst of a slump. Bumped at
the gate that day, then raced wide from an outside post, and got
fanned even wider when accelerating on the turn. Drew post one
January 10 and was forced to gun from the rail because the jocks
thought it was an iron speed track. Dueled with a true speed
horse and paid the price in deep stretch. Should return to his
stalking tactics today behind an expected lively and contested
pace.
(5) OHSAY DELSAY-faced the top choice December 26. In that event
he had to work his way to the inside from an outside post and
then finished gamely on the rail behind a heavy favorite. Likes
it wet and should get some pace.
(1) PIRATEONTHELOOSE-shipped here December 9 & slugged it out
through strong fractions. Dueled early Dec 26, put away his pace
rival, then was immediately rehooked before weakening. Speed
nearest the wood.
(7) HALO FLASH-loves it wet and has shown the ability to hang on
despite dueling in those conditions.
WAGERING: #6 to win. Exacta and trifecta keys 6/5-1-7.
GULFSTREAM: POST TIMES 2:47, 4:07, 5:28 ET
(3) VIENTOCONQUISTADOR (Race Five) last out 7 yo gelding ran 2nd
as the favorite when getting hammer hard at the start. Lost to
Canadian shipper Flawless Silver dropping in from 32,000. Was
claimed out of that race by trainer Peter Walder. Walder is
supurb horseman who wins 30% first off the claim while posting
excellent ROI. Adds blinkers on while getting huge jockey switch
from slumping rider to hot Shane Sellers
(4) SEROTONIN- last out in the GP slop was forced to race
extremely wide. Made huge middle move before flattening out and
figures to move forward off that effort. Takes slight but useful
drop in class and gets weight break with bug Cruz aboard
(11) SEZHOO- showed little last out when returning from lengthy
layoff but was never asked for any serious run. Likes mud
(7) D NANG- stalked the pace in good position last out before
being wrapped up on by jockey. Loves distance going 2 for 2
WAGERING: #3 to win. Exacta and trifecta key 3/4-11-7.
Reverse 4-3 exacta.
(4) ENCRYPTION (Race Eight) returned from 3 month layoff in Nov
to win at first asking. Last out received first lasix while
stretching out but was unable to run down lone speed who got
away with soft fractions. Today's field also contains little
speed but with better post jockey Shane Sellers can have more
say in early going. Horse shows sharp work since last and
figures to continue forward progress for capable connections
(3) EAGLE COUNTRY- can forgive poor effort last out as was
caught down on the inside on sloppy strip. Never got untracked.
Same scenario is possible today with rain forecasted by now gets
jockey Pat Day who will make adjustments. Zito trains
(8) STRITZEL- tried alnw\3 condition last out and turned in
honest effort against today's top choice. Will benefit from
outside post as can stalk speed without undue effort. Jerry
Bailey rides back and goes for trainer Bill White who remains
hot.
WAGERING: Equal exactas 4/3-8. Reverse.
(7) ALPINE SLIDE (Race Eleven) was claimed out of debut for
50,000 by shrewd trainer Stanley Hough. After brief break
returned going long. Was checked sharply at the start last out
but rebounded to make strong middle move while still gaining
2nd. Stable scores high % with their 2nd time routers. Gets Pat
Day up who clicks at 39% for Hough. Horse posted solid morning
drill from the gate since last and figues to be price
(8) POLITICAL FOLLY- already broken maiden once but number was
taken down after adventursome trip. Can score again
(1) TANNERS CREEK- started off poorly in last and never got into
race. Now adds blinkers for trainer Kenny McPeek
WAGERING: #7 to win. Main 7-8 exacta. Smaller 7-1. Reverse
both for smaller amounts.
SANTA ANITA: POST TIMES 3:30, 5:03, 6:36, 7:07 ET
(1) AVENUEOFTHESTARS (Race One): Drops in with claimers for the
first time since romping by nine lengths in July. He shed the
blinkers but had an uneven trip last out as Solis never knew
whether to take him back or let him stay with the pace, and he
only lost by a length. Switches to Nakatani today, gets the
rail, but the move back in with claimers should help him the
most.
WAGERING: Daily Doubles 1/6-9.
RACE FOUR
(1) HOT SHOT CASEY- Trainer does very well bringing Turf
Paradise horses to Southern Cal, and this one has speed, gets
the rail, and is moving down a bit in class. Game race when
dueling from outer post at HOL Dec 4.
WAGERING: #1 to win.
(8) LOVE THAT JAZZ (Race Seven): Five year old is in the top
form of her career, and comes off a big win against males in
which she closed like a rocket up the rail, finishing in a
remarkable 23.1 seconds. In fact, she beat males twice in 1998.
Drysdale is as good as they come in pointing horses for big
races, and he and Desormeaux are always a formidable team in
California stakes. Perfect style to lay off of expected fast
pace, and she likes a wet track if the rains come early.
(1A)BELLE'S FLAG- Has had an injury plagued career, but when
right, is a multiple G2 winner. Impressive combo of speed and
stamina, and her 5 of 6 record here speaks for itself. Can rate
off the expected leader Enjoy The Moment, launch her bid at the
top of the stretch, and make the others catch her. Fantastic
works, handles wet.
(7) SEEKING THE PEARL- International star is the mystery, having
never raced on dirt, let alone a wet track. Set a new course
record when beating G1 males in France in Aug; appears in top
form after near miss vs. G1 males.
(9) ENJOY THE MOMENT- Giant leap in class, but improving filly
has a world of speed, will be on the lead, and if the track is
wet and she takes to it as her pedigree suggests, she might just
be good enough. Loves this track.
WAGERING: #8 to win. Exacta box key 8/1a-7-9.
(7) EXCESSIVE THERESA (Race Eight): She was thrown to the
wolves in her return from a six month layoff, facing older foes
for the first time in the toughest spot of her career. She far
outran her 51-1 odds, pressing a sizzling pace three wide and
running on well to hold fourth in a full field. She plummets
down the class ladder into the allowance ranks, and gets the
services of McCarron back, who has won both times he's ridden
her. Speed to rate just off the expected fast pace, and should
improve.
(4) DOOR BELL- Exits the same stakes race as top choice, where
she also dueled but faded more severely. Dangerous if allowed
to get loose on the lead. Strong, relatively unknown J/T team
wins 25% for big ROI.
(1) KALOOKAN ANGEL- Has a tendency to run well, but get caught
late. In the money 8 of 10, but only one win.
(8) ETHEL N DAVE- Nice win two back against Cal-breds, then
unsuccessfully tried turf last out. Should rebound.
WAGERING: #7 to win. Exacta box 4-7. Exactas 7/1-8. No
reverse.
LAUREL PARK: POST TIMES 1:12, 3:08 ET
(9) HOLME SWIFTLY (Race Three) Has been running in good form and
was claimed last time out by trainer Mike Pino. Pino is vastly
unerrated as a claiming trainer, scoring 25 percent first off
the claim. Switches to hot bug rider Santana. Blinkers on.
WAGERING: #9 to win. Exacta box 9-3.
(2) BRIAN'S ROSE (Race Seven) Won his debut in easy fashion at
Colonial Downs. Followed that with another solid effort
against stakes runners. Returns after three months away for
trainer Earl Begley, who does an excellent job with long-term
layoffs. Has good speed and the rail post.
WAGERING: #2 to win.
TURFWAY PARK: POST TIMES 1:10, 2:29, 4:21 ET
TURFWAY PARK-Race 1 (1:10 EST)
(8) HITCH A RIDE-Dangerous off the drop and blinkers added for sharp otufit.
Meets weak field and figures to be on or near the lead from the start.
WAGER: Win bet on # 8. "Key" in Daily Doubles with # 2 KIT WORTH, # 4 ALTAR
BOUND and # 8 COLONIAL BOUND.
TURFWAY PARK-Race 4 (2:29 EST)
(4) ZIGGY'S ZIGGY-Comes off two excellent races switching to Turfway. Second
to Angel's approach Jan 1 who came back to win. Dangerous speed and has shown
he loves a wet surface.
WAGER: Win bet on # 4.
TURFWAY PARK-Race 8 (4:21 EST)
(6) DIAL DIXIE-Steps up into allowance company off a strong win Dec 30. Bred
to relsih any moisture. Tactical speed to sit a perfect trip. From a "live"
barn.
WAGER: Win bet on # 6.
FAIR GROUNDS: POST TIMES 3:45, 4:41 ET
FAIR GROUNDS-Race 6 (3:45 EST)
(7) CHIEF MINISTER-Good second in debut when connections opted to "give em
one" in career debut against a runaway winner. Well meant today stretching out
to two turns which he is bred well for. Solid works for this. First start on
lasix as well and positive rider change to Albarado.
WAGER: Win bet on # 7. "Key" in exactas over # 2 SCALE, # 3 CHEZ CORTEZ and #
10 SOUTHERN ACCENT in order. Only reverse with # 2 SCALE as a SAVER. Also play
a TRIFECTA "key" using # 7 on top with 2-3-10. Play an additional trifecta 7
with 2 with 3-10 and another trifecta 2 with 7 with 3-10.
FAIR GROUNDS-Race 8 (4:41 EST)
Play a four horse TRIFECTA box, boxing # 1 MR. KNAPP, # 6 MAGIC WORLD, # 7
GOLDEN NIGHT and # 8 SILENT SIX. A $1.00 TRIFECTA box with four horses will
cost you $24.00 or $2.00 wager $48.00.