November 2000 VOL. 13, NO. 11

Table of Contents

Breeders' Cup Menu
Churchill Down Stats
New PP Enhancements
Stable Alert
Upcoming Contests
Help for the Challenge
MultiCaps
Calendar
At Your Service

The Breeders' Cup XVII Menu

Brisnet.com Appetizers

FREE Handicapping Software - choose from 8 different programs designed to give you an edge at the windows. Let packages such as ALL-Ways, Neurax Pro, MultiCaps, etc. help you analyze these contentious events. Download any of the programs FREE from Brisnet.com and taste what they can add to your handicapping method.

Main Courses

Ultimate Past Performances - a savory dish packed with everything you can imagine: Prime Power, Class/Pace/Speed Ratings, Foreign Class Ratings, Pedigree data, Track Bias stats and so much more. Tournaments are being won all over the country with this invaluable tool. Dig in!

Quick Play PP's - this is the combination of a five-star meal and fast food rolled into one. If you're looking to save time in this era of simulcast wagering, Quick Play PP's is the answer. Along with Pace Ratings and Prime Power, you will get positive and negative comments on every runner in every race. At a glance you can easily separate the contenders from the pretenders. What a dish!

Timeform - enjoy this plate direct from Europe. Find out what the Away Team thinks of their shippers' chances on Cup Day. Not only will you get the famous Timeform ratings on all runners, you will tap into incredible insight on all horses from both sides of the Atlantic. Available Wednesday evening for only $10 in either text or PDF format.

Super Stats - the perfect compliment to any Brisnet.com Past Performances. Easy to download and easy to use, Super Stats offers expanded trainers stats, a speed rating graph on all runners, Prime Power and more.

Great Deserts

Wizard Analysis - the Wizard has been known to crush a big race or two with his professional wagering strategies. The last time the Cup was held at Churchill Downs, the Wizard was on fire, nailing four Pick 3 wagers and $1,050 in Pick 5 consolations! Only a wide trip on Swain kept him from taking down a big Pick 6 payoff. Only $15 and available by Thursday.

KY Handicapper - when you want an Italian dish, you go where there's an Italian chef. Well, no one knows the Kentucky circuit better than Steve Moody, who does the KY Handicapper's Sheet every day of the year for Brisnet.com. Only $3, the KY Handicapper's Sheet provides comments on every runner, top three picks, longshot selections, and suggested exotic wagers.

Insider Picks & Power Plays - now only $10 for unlimited same raceday files, this report offers 3 Star Best Bets and Power Play angles you can't afford to pass up. Clocker's Specials will alert you to any runners who are relishing the Churchill oval. Sharp And Ready will pinpoint the horses with a Class & Speed edge in the field. Many more angles and great selections! Bon Appetit!


Table of Contents

Breeders' Cup Menu
Churchill Down Stats
New PP Enhancements
Stable Alert
Upcoming Contests
Help for the Challenge
MultiCaps
Calendar
At Your Service

The Biases of Churchill Downs

By Richard Nilsen

Thanks to our comprehensive database at BRIS, we've uncovered a few stats regarding the track bias at Churchill Downs. Looking at data back to the Fall meet in 1997, I analyzed some of the different distances involved in the Breeders' Cup based on the appropriate age group. Here are the findings:

SIX FURLONGS (354 races): No surprise here - the more speed you have, the better your chances at winning. The success rate gradually diminishes from Early types (E) down to Sustained closers (S). The average beaten lengths of the winner is 2.4 lengths at the 1st call and 1.9 lengths at the 2nd call. In fact, 70% of the winners are among the first three at the half mile. The rail (one hole) has been good, winning at a 14% clip.

ONE MILE, TURF (84 races): Early/Pressers (E/P) and Pressers (P) have the best chance at success. Sustained types often don't get up in time, and frontrunners usually don't hang on. The typical winner is found 3.5 lengths behind at the 1st call and 2.1 lengths behind at the 2nd call. Inside posts, especially the two and three hole, have the preferred draw.

8 1/2 FURLONGS (54 Juvenile races): Only 13% of the two-year-old races run at 1 1/16 miles have been taken wire to wire. Early/Pressers (E/P) and Pressers (P) have the best chance at success. Sustained types win far fewer races than expected. The average beaten lengths of the winner is 4.1 lengths at the 1st call and 2.3 lengths at the 2nd call. Post position has not been much of a factor. That is very surprising given the short run to the first turn, and the fact that it is the first two-turn race for many youngsters.

NINE FURLONGS (24 races): Finally, a distance where closers excel. Although Early types hold their own, the slight edge goes to Sustained closers. Interestingly, post position tends to matter here. The outside posts (8 and beyond) win on average only 2% of their starts. Compare that to the middle posts (4 through 7) which win on average 22% of the starts. There must be something to the bank of the racetrack and the positioning of the starting gate that seems to give a built-in advantage to certain posts.

TEN FURLONGS (11 races): Early/Pressers (E/P) and Pressers (P) have dominated here based on a small sample, which includes three runnings of the KY Derby. The typical winner is found several lengths off the lead, averaging 5.3 lengths behind at the 1st call and 4.2 lengths behind at the 2nd call. You want a horse that figures to be in mid-pack but has some tactical speed. More than half the winners were on the lead by the time they hit the top of the stretch. The inside posts hold a slight advantage.


Table of Contents

Breeders' Cup Menu
Churchill Down Stats
New PP Enhancements
Stable Alert
Upcoming Contests
Help for the Challenge
MultiCaps
Calendar
At Your Service

New PP Enhancements

New Improvements are coming to Brisnet.com Premium Plus, Quick Play and Ultimate Past Performances:

  • Expanded trainers stats relevant to today's race
  • New Pedigree ratings for surface & distance
  • Best BRIS Speed for current year, previous year, today's track and fast tracks
  • Colors of silks worn by the rider
  • Record of previous trainer for any claimed horse
  • Lengths behind at the 1/4 mile call in all route races

Table of Contents

Breeders' Cup Menu
Churchill Down Stats
New PP Enhancements
Stable Alert
Upcoming Contests
Help for the Challenge
MultiCaps
Calendar
At Your Service

Stable Alert

Nothing Compares to Stable Alert!

Have you tried the new Stable Alert e-mail notification service? There has never such a convenient service for handicappers or horsemen. Only Stable Alert offers:

  • The ability to choose when and how often you receive email (click on Options)
  • Results via email for all entries in your Stable
  • Notifies you via email if your horse is scratched
  • Daily Summary report for entries and/or results
  • Post Times - you don't have to look up when the race is being run
  • Fewer ads - who wants email cluttered with ads? We know our customers don't!
  • Program numbers & Morning line odds
Signing up and building your stable takes only a few minutes! Make your life easier - visit www.brisnet.com/stablealert today!

Table of Contents

Breeders' Cup Menu
Churchill Down Stats
New PP Enhancements
Stable Alert
Upcoming Contests
Help for the Challenge
MultiCaps
Calendar
At Your Service

Upcoming Contests

The following events are qualifiers for the $200,000 National Handicapping Championship

Oak Tree at Santa Anita626-574-7223 Nov. 4-5
Fonner Park 308-382-4515 Nov. 4
Suffolk Downs 617-567-3900Nov. 11
Brisnet Online Challenge II800-354-9206Nov. 11 - Dec. 2
Portland Meadows 503-285-9144 Nov. 17-19
Laurel 301-725-0400 Nov. 18
Suffolk Downs 617-567-3900 Nov. 18
Thistledown 216-662-8600 Oct. 28 & Nov. 18
Ruidoso Downs 505-378-4431 Nov. 18-19
Hollywood Park 310-330-7154 Nov. 25
Hawthorne 708-780-3700 Dec. 2
Fair Grounds 504-944-5515 Dec. 2-3
Hawthorne 708-780-3700 Dec. 9
Turf Paradise 602-942-1101 Dec. 9-10
Del Mar Surfside 858-755-1167 Dec. 17
Turfway Park 859-371-0200 Dec. 17


Table of Contents

Breeders' Cup Menu
Churchill Down Stats
New PP Enhancements
Stable Alert
Upcoming Contests
Help for the Challenge
MultiCaps
Calendar
At Your Service

Need Help for the Challenge?

Unless you are following every track across the United States and Canada, you may need a little assistance in deciphering the nuances of racing from Aqueduct to Santa Anita and all points in between. The Wizard has spent decades studying tracks and races across the country. His comprehensive coverage and insightful analysis is legendary in the racing industry.

You will want to check out the Wizard's Online Challenge Analysis, which offers a complete breakdown of each horse for every race, pace analysis, weather conditions for tracks, track speed biases, recommended longshots (for that elusive tiebreaker rule) and top selections. For only $10 per report, you can tap into the Wizard's expertise each week of the contest.

In past contests, the Wizard provided help to many participants with his Value Plays. Save time and let a professional help you during the $25,000 Online Challenge II. Visit http://www.brisnet.com each Friday afternoon to access the Wizard Report!


Table of Contents

Breeders' Cup Menu
Churchill Down Stats
New PP Enhancements
Stable Alert
Upcoming Contests
Help for the Challenge
MultiCaps
Calendar
At Your Service

Don't Put a Cap on Your Success

by Harry Furlong

When was the last time you took an honest appraisal of your handicapping? I was forced recently to recognize some of my own limitations after a sub-par performance in a recent handicapping tournament. While I have always considered myself a somewhat skilled handicapper (don't we all?), I am not particularly quick. To compensate for my lack of speed, I have always handicapped races well in advance. This approach had served me well until this tournament. The contest called for contestants to handicap 30 races from 5 racetracks without advance knowledge of the races. With so many races to handicap, I was unprepared when the tournament started. Not surprisingly, I enjoyed some early success in the contest. However as the day progressed, I faltered and finished out of contention. It would have been very easy at the end of the day to blame my failure on the format of the contest, saying it is unrealistic to handicap that many races at one sitting. The reality was I needed to make some fundamental changes in my handicapping. I decided to augment my traditional handicapping with MultiCaps handicapping software.

What I like about MultiCaps is that it allows me to manipulate up to 25 handicapping factors based on my personal preferences. It draws on my experiences at the track to handicap the races. Handicappers can key in on several factors such Pace, Ability, Projected Time, Feet Per Second Calculations, Prime Power, Race Ratings, total Pace Ratings and Class Ratings to name a few. After you decide which factors are most important, MultiCaps ranks the horses accordingly. The MultiCaps reports are easy to read and include a projected odds line to help you pinpoint potential longshots. Since I determine all the factors, I still feel in control but now can handicap entire race cards instantly.

Now I look forward to challenging race cards, especially the upcoming Breeders' Cup! Instead of hemming and hawing over each tough Cup race, I will be able to quickly zero in on the contenders with MultiCaps.

To download FREE MultiCaps software, visit www.brisnet.com and click FREE software at the top page.


Table of Contents

Breeders' Cup Menu
Churchill Down Stats
New PP Enhancements
Stable Alert
Upcoming Contests
Help for the Challenge
MultiCaps
Calendar
At Your Service

November 2000 Racing Calendar

[Click Here]


BRIS - At Your Service

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