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September/October,
2005 VOL. 19, NO.
9
SEE INSIDE THIS MONTH'S
ISSUE FOR...
>>Sunday
Specials at Brisnet.com!
>>14 Spots to
Vegas
>>Football Reports Now
Online
>>Kentucky
Handicapper Hits 9 of 10
>>New
Track Codes for Oak Tree at Santa Anita
>>Winning
Angles for Oak Tree at Santa Anita
>>The
Wizard has Hit 40% POD Winners in 2005
>>September/October
Racing Calendar
Sunday
Specials at Brisnet.com!
Every Sunday through October 23, Brisnet.com
members will have free access to a featured
handicapping product. Visit us online before every
Sunday for a new and exciting giveaway. It's our way
of saying 'thank you' to all of our valued
customers.
How
do I take advantage?
There will be a link from the homepage at
www.brisnet.com each weekend. This will take you to
a special page providing a link to the giveaway for
Sunday's races.
What reports will be given away?
Here
is the schedule for the free Sunday Specials:
|
File Date |
Giveaway |
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Sept. 25 |
Ultimate Past Performances |
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Oct. 2 |
ProfitLine selections |
|
Oct. 9 |
KY Handicapper for Keeneland |
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Oct. 16 |
Handicappers Report |
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Oct. 23 |
New!
Condensed Ultimate PPs |
Bookmark racing's #1 website today; or better
yet, make it your homepage* for quick and easy
access to the daily specials. With great racing at
tracks such as Belmont, Keeneland and Oak Tree, you
can't afford to miss a single Sunday at
Brisnet.com.
*using Internet Explorer, click on 'Tools', then
'Options' to set www.brisnet.com as your
default homepage when you log onto the Internet.
Instructions vary by browser and versions.
>>>Return to top
 Three down, four
more to go! The new Brisnet.com World Series
Qualifiers & Satellites are well under way with
three Brisnet.com members now qualified for the
$1,000,000 Horseplayer World Series to be held
in Las Vegas next January. Congratulations to
Paul Mahre, Brian George and Cliff Hartnitt who were the Grand Prize winners of
the first three single day events.
|
Remaining Four Qualifier & Satellite Dates* |
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Saturday,
September 24th |
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Saturday, October 1st |
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Saturday, October 22nd |
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Saturday, November 19th |
On each of the
remaining qualifier dates, players will compete for
the Grand Prize of $1,000 cash and an
automatic berth to Las Vegas. The next 50
players in the standings (2nd place through 51st
position) qualify for the Brisnet.com Finals on
Saturday, December 17. On that date only 350
members (the 50 finalists from each of the seven
events) will compete for seven more berths in
the Coast Casino's World Series! That's right! Brisnet.com is sending a total of 14 members to Las
Vegas to compete for $1,000,000!
Contest Past Performances
�To win the
contest, I used Ultimate PPs with Comments. Between
the Prime Power and my own read of the PPs, I
arrived at my choice for each race.�
-Paul Mahre, 1st
Place Winner of the July 23rd Brisnet.com Qualifier
& Satellite
Customized contest
cards are available each Thursday evening.
Download all 8 contest races in your Brisnet.com
file for one low price. For example, Premium PPs
for the entire contest card are only $1.00.
Brisnet.com is
proud to be your handicapping contest headquarters.
No other site is offering more ways to qualify for
Vegas by simply playing from the comfort of home.
Don't miss your chance to qualify and compete for
$1,000,000. For complete details, rules and
registration on the Brisnet.com Qualifiers &
Satellites, visit
www.brisnet.com/contest.
* Dates subject to
change.
** A Brisnet free
membership and computer with Internet access
required to participate. One free entry per member.
Only one qualifying spot can be earned into the
December 17 Finals at Brisnet.com. Only one
qualifying berth into the World Series can be won
per person per host rules. $1,000,000 Pool dependent
on number of entries in Vegas.
>>>Return to top
Put Brisnet on your
side with some great football advice for both
college and pro. Our gridiron experts know which
players are hurt, and which aren't, as well as which
teams are primed to give their best effort on game
day.
Before you wager,
read one of these two reports:
NFL PICKS &
PREVIEWS ($10) -
comprehensive
previews and analysis of every NFL game each week.
Offers 5-star best bets, trends, line updates,
schedules, and season records versus the spread.
This is an absolute must-have report!
INSIDER'S EDGE
($20) - offers injury
updates, important trends, ratings, all on selected
college and pro games in one report. Isolates the
most favorable matchups on the gridiron!
Take down the local
office pool by tapping into one of these great
reports. They'll never know your secret. Both sheets
are updated and online every Wednesday evening.
>>>Return to top
The Kentucky
Handicapper, the foremost authority on Kentucky
racing, enjoyed a terrific afternoon at Ellis
Park on August 19, selecting nine of
10 winners on top. After nailing the first race,
the white-hot professional handicapper missed the
second race and then reeled off eight straight
winners.
The Kentucky
Handicapper had another big day on August 13,
correctly tabbing seven winners on top. He
selected the winners of the first and third as well
as the final five races on the 11-race program.
The Kentucky Handicapper sheet is the best source
for winners at Turfway Park and Keeneland.
It's a bargain for only $3.
>>>Return to top
To conform with the
new industry policy, Brisnet.com will be
using "OSA" as the new track code for Oak
Tree at Santa Anita. Every fall the Santa Anita
racetrack is run by the Oak Tree Association. To
reflect this specific meet the track code used
during this time will change from SA to OSA. The
2005 meet runs Sept. 28 through Nov. 6.
Brisnet.com and the
Daily Racing Form will be maintaining horse's
records over the Santa Anita track in one record.
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Averaging nearly
one stakes race a day during its 31-day campaign,
the 37th season of the Oak Tree Racing
Association begins Wednesday, Sept. 28
and concludes with California Cup XVI on Nov. 6. Six
graded stakes races, two of which are Grade 1s, will
be decided on opening weekend, Oct. 1 and 2. The
$500,000 Yellow Ribbon Stakes, a prestigious
Grade I fixture for fillies and mares on the turf,
the $500,000 Goodwood Breeders' Cup Handicap (Gr.
II) for 3-year-olds and up, and the Grade II,
$200,000 Oak Leaf Stakes for 2-year-old fillies,
are all featured on Saturday, Oct. 1.
In addition to
great racing, the first Saturday also provides
several other reasons to break away from the
television and head out to the track. Oak Tree has a
Microbrew Festival, a classic stein giveaway,
and the first leg of an NTRA qualifying tournament.
Taking a look at
the last two year's of the Oak Tree meeting, we've
found a few nuggets of information from the
Brisnet.com database that every handicapper
should know when tackling this track.
MITCHELL & COMPANY
Mike Mitchell
dominated the meet in 2004, winning 13 races at a
sensational 43-percent clip. Just as
impressively, 70 percent of his runners hit the
board and flat betting all of his starters resulted
in a +0.57 ROI (return on investment). Mitchell
spreads the wealth around but is most dangerous when
using Corey Nakatani or Victor Espinoza.
Surprisingly,
trainer Bobby Frankel was also a flat bet
profit at +0.61 based on 10 winners from only 30
starters. Frankel used no less than seven jockeys to
win those ten races! Two other trainers who had
excellent meets were John Sadler (9 for 44, 20%) and
Jack Carava (8 for 40, 20%).
Mitchell was just
as dangerous with his turf starters, winning with
five of 11 for a healthy 45-percent rate. Bobby
Frankel won with seven of his 22 turf starters
(31%). A sleeper as far as turf trainers go is
Chris Paasch, who won with three of his five
starters. Neil Drysdale and Dick Mandella
both won with three turf runners but needed 12
starts each to accomplish the task.
TURF CHALK
When looking at the
success rate of favorites, separated by dirt
versus turf, a surprising result popped up. In each
of that last two Oak Tree meetings, turf favorites
outperformed dirt favorites and were actually a flat
bet profit each season. Turf chalk was victorious
41.3 percent in 2004 with a +0.38 ROI. In 2003
"only" 39 percent of the turf favorites won for a
+0.10 ROI.
As for turf jockeys
Corey Nakatani dominated the grass course last
season, winning 34 percent. Alex Bisono was the
sleeper on the turf course, winning with five of his
24 mounts (20%).
TRACK BIAS NUGGETS
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5.5 furlongs:
outside posts have been a big negative the last
two racing seasons.
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6 furlongs:
tactical speed is a must. Over 80% of the
winners are within three lengths at the first
call.
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7 furlongs: the
rail (one hole) and inside posts dominate.
Tactical speed is a must.
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One mile: deep,
one-run closers rarely win.
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1/16 miles:
less than 15% of the races have been won
wire-to-wire.
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6.5 f turf:
mid-pack runners (pressers) and outside posts
hold a slight advantage.
-
One mile turf:
late runners dominate, winning over 60% of the
races.
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1 1/8 miles
turf: there has not been a winner break from the
rail in over two years (0 for 16).
CLOSING DAY
Moved to closing
day this year, California Cup is comprised of
11 state-bred races. California Cup, which puts the
Golden State in the spotlight, takes place a week
after the Breeders' Cup. There will be a $1
million guaranteed Pick Six pool and a mandatory
payout due to closing day, two very good reasons to
tackle this contentious card.
The big day of
racing showcases eight stakes worth $100,000 or
more, headed by the $250,000 California Cup Classic,
plus two handicaps worth $50,000 each for horses
that have run in claiming races. Post time on Cal
Cup day is 11:15 a.m
>>>Return to top
 
The
Wizard has been on a tear all year long with his
popular Pick of the Day sheet. Available 7
days per week at Brisnet.com, the Pick of the
Day pinpoints the best play of the day and provides
expert wagers and analysis.
In
August the Wizard nailed 16 Pick of the Day
winners from only 30 plays. This included a
recent $10.60 winner at the Spa along with the
$35.60 exacta three times!
With
another month of over 50 percent winners, the
Wizard brought his overall win record for the year
to over 40 percent. Now that's some handicapping!
Tap into the Wizard's insight the next time you play
the races.
Wizard Profitable at Saratoga
The
Wizard crushed the competition at his home track of
Saratoga. Over the course of the 36-day meet the
Wizard's top selections won 34% of the races, but
more impressively, did so at a flat bet profit. With
his Best Bets, he nailed 44% winners, again at a
flat bet profit!
Top Selections: 115 out of 340 (34%,
$696.60, +$16.60)
Best Bet picks: 44 of 101 (44%, $213.40, +$11.40)
In
addition to several double digit winners, the Wizard
tabbed Flower Alley as the winner of the Travers
Stakes and had a $20 top winner on the
Travers Day undercard.
Look
for the Wizard daily selections for New York,
Kentucky, Southern California and select meets.
>>>Return to top
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