La Prevoyante

TRACK BANDIT PREVIEWS

An overflow field of 13 was entered for Saturday’s $200,000 La Prevoyante H.
(G2) at Calder, and the 1 1/2-mile turf test features a match-up between the
winners of the two divisions of September’s Glens Falls H. (G3). ARVADA (GB)
(Hernando [Fr]) returned off her front-running, half-length victory in the
second division to finish third in the Long Island H. (G2) last out after
holding a slight advantage in the stretch. HUMAITA (Ger) (Surumu) earned her
Glens Falls win by a half-length as well, but comes into this one off a gutsy
nose score in the Dowager S. at Keeneland in late October. Either one of these
two fillies can add the La Prevoyante to her record, but we’ll try to beat both
with SAVEDBYTHELIGHT (Saint Ballado).

Trained by Richard Violette Jr., the four-year-old miss has yet to post a win
this season, but has been close in most all of her starts. She finished third to
Humaita in the first division of the Glens Falls, but was only 1 3/4 lengths
back after setting the pace in the 11-furlong test. While the dark bay filly
will be stretching out an extra furlong here, she’s proven she can handle the
added distance after running second in the 1 1/2-mile Orchid H. (G2) earlier
this year. Savedbythelight found herself chasing the field in the Long Island
last out, a position she doesn’t seem to like, but still managed to get up for
fourth at the wire. A three-furlong move in :35 1/5 on Sunday helped get her
ready for this one, and Jose Valdivia Jr. will be aboard for the first time.

Arvada looks to be the better of the two Glens Falls winners. The bay
four-year-old has earned some nice numbers since coming to the United States,
including a 111 BRIS Late Pace figure for the Glens Falls as well as a 99 BRIS
Speed rating. The Bobby Frankel trainee seems to prefer the lead and is speedy
enough to find herself in that position here despite breaking from the 10-hole.
Edgar Prado has the call on Arvada and the pair will probably try to take it all
the way to the wire.

Humaita earned a field-best 101 Speed rating for her Dowager victory last out
and consistently posts triple-digit Late Pace figures as well. The H. Graham
Motion charge has experience winning off the break, taking the Sabin S. at
Belmont Park after an almost two-month layoff. All but one of her four wins this
year have come against stakes company and the chestnut lass could add to that
mark here with Cornelio Velasquez in the saddle.

SOMETHING VENTURED (Cobra King) broke through with her first win of 2004 in
the My Charmer H. (G3) most recently. She garnered a century-topping 121 Late
Pace rating for that length score and comes from the barn of Todd Pletcher. The
dark bay mare loves Calder (5-2-2-1) and will have jockey Jerry Bailey holding
the reins, a plus in her favor. She could surprise with a second straight score.

DERRIANNE (Cozzene) has yet to go beyond 8 1/2 furlongs, but could appreciate
the added distance. The Christophe Clement-conditioned gray finished a rallying
third in the second division of the Soft Parade S. over this course last out,
just 1 3/4 lengths back of the winner. Though the four-year-old doesn’t own
quite the same numbers as the ones above, she could still threaten for the win. LENATAREESE (Broad Brush) finished a nose back in second in the Mrs. Revere S.
(G2) after racing seven wide in the 1 1/16-mile event. She earned a 103 Late
Pace rating for her game run in the stretch and could utilize that same move
here to challenge in the top three.

LITERACY (Diesis [GB]) came in a half-length in front of Arvada in the Long
Island most recently at 16-1 and could go off at nice odds again on Saturday.
The bay four-year-old seems to like the longer distances (3-0-1-1) and could
show up in the exotics. OCEAN SILK (Dynaformer) is a game competitor on the
turf, but was forced to try the sloppy main track in her last one after a
grassy optional claimer at Churchill Downs was moved off the green. She ran a
respectable third in that one, and could improve on that placing here while
returning to the turf. HONEY RYDER (Last Approval) is slightly erratic, running
a good race before throwing in a poor effort in her next start. She worked a
nice half-mile in :48 on Sunday to get ready for this one and shouldn’t be
completely discounted from gimmicks consideration.

IOWA’S IMAGE (Halo’s Image) has done well at Calder this season, winning a
stakes and placing in two others, but might not be able to handle these at this
time. We’ll watch to see how she fares in her graded debut. MY DEAR LADY (Arg)
(Mutakddim) is a two-time Group 2 winner in her native Argentina this year, but
will be making only her second U.S. start in this spot. We’ll go against based
on her last one. COZIE ADVANTAGE (Tactical Advantage) will be making her first
start for trainer Richard Sacco here, but we can’t recommend at this time.

KRASNAYA (Red Ransom) is listed as an also-eligible but doesn’t look fast
enough to challenge against these even if she draws in.