AMERICAN
GRADED STAKES PREVIEWS
| DISCOVERY H.
(G3), 8TH-AQU, $100,000, 3YO, 1 1/8M, 3:44 P.M. EST, 11-21 |
|
| 1 |
REDDING COLLIERY, 3, c, by MineshaftJoop, by Zilzal O-Mrs Fitri Hay; B-Gainesway Thoroughbreds Ltd. & 707 Stables (Ky) |
| 2 |
BAD ACTION, 3, G, by BrahmsLucky Carley, by Sky Classic O-Sanford H Robbins LLC Winning Move Stable; B-Pennston Farm Inc (Fl) |
| 3 |
BIRDRUN, 3, c, by BirdstoneRun Like Martha, by Jolie’s Halo O-Oxbow Racing; B-Arthur I. Appleton (Fl) |
| 4 |
HAYNESFIELD, 3, c, by SpeightstownNothing Special, by Tejabo O-Turtle Bird Stable; B-Barry Weisbord & Margaret Santulli (NY) |
| 5 |
GONE ASTRAY, 3, c, by Dixie UnionIllicit, by Mr. Prospector O-Phipps Stable; B-Phipps Stable (Ky) |
| 6 |
PRECURSOR, 3, c, by A.P. IndySophorific (Ire), by Danehill O-Darley Stable; B-Dr. Masatake Iida (Ky) |
Only six sophomores will line up in Saturday’s $100,000 Discovery H. (G3) at
Aqueduct, and the Shug McGaughey-trained GONE ASTRAY (Dixie Union) is the one to
beat in the nine-furlong affair. The dark bay colt has really come to life since
switching to two-turn races, racking up dominating victories in the Ohio Derby
(G2) and Pennsylvania Derby (G2) in his last two. He’s also been earning
century-topping BRIS numbers of late, garnering a 106 Speed figure for his Penn
Derby win and a 116 Late Pace rating for a close head second in the Coronado’s
Quest S. Gone Astray has winning experience over the track, and appears more
than capable of adding this one to his resume. Eddie Castro retains the mount.
BIRDRUN (Birdstone) might offer the best chance for some value in this race.
The Bill Mott charge broke his maiden by 10 1/2 lengths against claiming rivals
on a sloppy track at Saratoga, and has since run second twice before
breaking through his first-level allowance condition on October 21. That
front-running win netted the chestnut colt a 102 Speed rating and should have
set him up perfectly for his stakes bow in this spot. Alan Garcia will be taking
over riding duties on Birdrun, and the 5-1 morning-line shot could take this
field from gate-to-wire.
BAD ACTION (Brahms) has won or placed second in eight of his last nine races.
That coupled with his 8-1 morning-line price makes us believe the Gary Contessa
charge might
help boost the exotics. The dark bay gelding has spent a good portion of the
year racing on turf, but he switched over to Meadowlands’ dirt to capture the
Pegasus S. (G3) by a half-length last out. Though his numbers aren’t quite as
impressive as our top two, Bad Action has proven his ability against this
caliber and should come running late under David Cohen.
HAYNESFIELD (Speightstown) owns five wins from eight career starts, but most
of those came on Aqueduct’s inner dirt earlier this season. The Steve
Asmussen-conditioned colt has tailed off quite a bit since his 6 1/4-length
victory in the Whirlaway S. on February 7, finishing a well-beaten eighth in the
Gotham S. (G3) next out before being put on the shelf. He returned on October 2
to just miss in the Sir Keys S. by a head, and visited the winner’s circle when
capturing his last one, the Empire Classic S. at Belmont Park. Though the
chestnut seems to be on the improve, we’ll let him beat us for the win and just
tab in the bottom of the gimmicks. Ramon Dominguez has the call.
PRECURSOR (A.P. Indy) posted a gate-to-wire score in the Proud Truth S. last
out, repulsing a late bid from Bad Action. However, that win, along with his two
other career victories, came on sloppy, sealed tracks. With sunny conditions
forecast for Saturday, a fast surface seems probable, and we don’t think
Precursor will be able to duplicate his winning effort. REDDING COLLIERY
(Mineshaft) seems to prefer less ground than what this race offers. We can’t
recommend.