November 19, 2024

Condition of Pimlico turf course weighs “heavy” on horsemen, bettors

The Pimlico turf course produced some of the slowest times in modern memory on Black-Eyed Susan Day (Photos by Z)

BALTIMORE — Aside from the Preakness (G1) doings, one of the hot topics of the week was how the Pimlico turf course was going to fare after an unrelenting deluge of rain in the Baltimore area that’s lasted since Mothers Day.

With 13 races scheduled over it Friday and Saturday, including six stakes, races were, as expected, taken off the turf on Thursday. Still, despite the lush and thick appearance of the course midweek, the pummeling the course has taken over such a long stretch led to speculation about how many, if any, turf races would be salvaged.

Friday morning, the Maryland Jockey Club announced that races 2, 6, and 8 — all allowances — would be run on the main track. Race 4, a maiden, was to stay on, along with the Jim McKay Turf Sprint, Hilltop, and the nightcap allowance (Race 14). Not surprisingly, the course was labeled “soft,” the lowest-rated designation possible in American racing and a rarely-seen one as most tracks refuse to card anything but the most important stakes in such conditions.

It didn’t take long to realize that “soft” was not an accurate description. Instead, the commonly-seen European designation “heavy” would have been more appropriate. As in National Hunt-type heavy.

The maiden race, at 1 1/16 miles, was timed in an absurdly-slow 1:59.52, undoubtedly one of the slowest clockings for the distance in modern racing history regardless of surface. Soon after, it was announced Race 14 had been switched to the main track.

A press box colleague set the over/under of 1:05 for five furlongs in the Jim McKay Turf Sprint. I told him I’d take the “under,” and presciently predicted a time of 1:03 and change. The final time turned out to be 1:03.81, still ridiculously slow when we’re talking about above-average stakes-quality sprinters.

After the maiden race, it was obviously apparent that a number of horses simply weren’t going to handle this type of ground, more inclined for self preservation rather than extending themselves. Fields for all three races that went Friday were highly strung out at the finish, with Souper Striking ending the day’s infield action in the Hilltop in a time of 1:51.72 — for one mile!

Even before evidence came in of the course’s true condition, favorites like Hogy (Jim McKay Turf Sprint) and Thewayiam (Hilltop) had already been withdrawn. It’s likely more of the same can be expected Saturday when the Dixie (G2), Gallorette (G3), and two other stakes are scheduled.

Even with the rail scheduled to be set at zero and fresh ground available for horses breaking in the first handful of paths, how many horsemen are going to be willing to sacrifice some of their best steeds when other races and better conditions are around the corner?

It’s hard to see how any but the four stakes remain on the turf at Pimlico on Preakness Day, and even then the size of the fields could be severely compromised. That’s unfortunate news for Pimlico and the Maryland Jockey Club, who rely so heavily on strong business this particular weekend year in and year out.

Let’s not forget, also, that attempting to handicap and wager on the races that do remain on the turf will be incredibly difficult. Favorites did win two of the three turf races Friday, but the entire process probably can not be done with complete confidence and in some ways could wind up a guessing game.

It’s all an unfortunate outcome of Mother Nature’s wrath.

PROGENY ON SOFT TURF in NORTH AMERICA

(2001-, minimum 25 starts)

sire starts wins earnings win % Avg. Odds roi
Dynaformer 127 23 1501945 18.1102 6.61739130 -36.220473
Giant’s Causeway 72 9 669657 12.5000 7.90211268 -70.902778
Smart Strike 72 11 2593141 15.2778 9.91760563 -42.013889
Stormy Atlantic 61 10 658353 16.3934 11.32704918 -10.163935
Langfuhr 57 3 742995 5.2632 16.64912281 -1.666667
Kitten’s Joy 55 16 1324234 29.0909 10.45000000 28.454545
Royal Academy 55 1 171078 1.8182 10.75363636 -96.818182
Sky Classic 50 8 869551 16.0000 8.61428571 20.200000
More Than Ready 48 6 315622 12.5000 9.13125000 -57.500000
With Approval 48 6 374043 12.5000 8.90232558 -22.291667
Arch 47 8 768779 17.0213 12.87978723 22.021277
Mr. Greeley 44 5 395246 11.3636 9.37840909 91.818182
Not for Love 44 5 261184 11.3636 9.44767442 -42.045455
El Prado (IRE) 43 8 619889 18.6047 7.40476190 -39.069768
Northern Baby 42 5 105648 11.9048 3.99027778 -100.000000
A.P. Indy 38 3 290016 7.8947 7.01571429 -65.526316
Pleasant Tap 38 5 145316 13.1579 14.12205882 -61.710526
Harlan’s Holiday 37 6 510032 16.2162 10.42567568 -23.243243
Thunder Gulch 36 4 229762 11.1111 7.90303030 -61.111111
Cozzene 35 4 208885 11.4286 9.86451613 -2.857143
Lemon Drop Kid 35 5 937184 14.2857 11.24857143 1.285714
Pulpit 35 2 237490 5.7143 7.99310345 -85.142857
Tapit 35 2 422027 5.7143 12.94714286 -86.000000
Theatrical (IRE) 35 2 315803 5.7143 9.95909091 -73.571429
Malibu Moon 34 1 63991 2.9412 19.74696970 -83.235294
Polish Numbers 34 3 90992 8.8235 9.95000000 -92.647059
Bernstein 33 8 809651 24.2424 7.58181818 92.121212
Broken Vow 33 5 221267 15.1515 12.78125000 56.363636
City Zip 32 2 122383 6.2500 11.49531250 -79.687500
Freud 32 3 189395 9.3750 14.82500000 -42.968750
Medaglia d’Oro 32 5 502688 15.6250 12.43281250 -42.031250
Mizzen Mast 32 5 251973 15.6250 7.55833333 2.500000
Tale of the Cat 31 4 258190 12.9032 9.39032258 -22.580645
Go for Gin 30 12 456562 40.0000 10.63461538 168.500000
Woodman 30 6 325955 20.0000 12.91250000 175.666667
Red Ransom 29 4 135435 13.7931 14.46896552 -20.344828
Distorted Humor 28 2 264443 7.1429 11.25370370 -68.928572
Forest Wildcat 28 2 138910 7.1429 11.26964286 -80.357143
Rahy 28 3 218959 10.7143 13.62678571 -49.285714
Belong to Me 27 4 246913 14.8148 16.59074074 44.074074
Unbridled’s Song 27 4 410594 14.8148 16.64600000 3.148148
Victory Gallop 26 5 125915 19.2308 11.24000000 -12.307692
Gulch 25 6 694671 24.0000 9.36875000 44.600000
Holy Bull 25 3 90621 12.0000 14.00600000 -6.400000
Lear Fan 25 3 267520 12.0000 8.14047619 -61.400000
Regal Classic 25 2 303326 8.0000 18.44347826 -64.800000
Silver Deputy 25 2 123905 8.0000 10.30600000 -58.400000

generated 2018-05-18 21:20:09 by HeidiSQL 9.4.0.5125