After extending his unbeaten sequence to three in Saturday’s San Felipe (G2), Authentic saw his odds tumble to 6-1 in Pool 3 of the Kentucky Derby Future Wager that ran from Friday through Sunday evening. The Bob Baffert colt closed as the individual favorite, while the “All others” option maintained overall favoritism at 4-1.
Authentic has been an individual betting interest in all three KDFW pools so far. A 50-1 shot as a sprint maiden winner in Pool 1 (Nov. 28-Dec. 1), he closed at 15-1 in Pool 2 (Feb. 7-9) in the wake of his romp in the Sham (G3). Authentic was pegged at 12-1 in the Pool 3 morning line, so his price was halved by the end.
Tiz the Law was the only other individual to finish Pool 3 in single digits, clipped from his 8-1 morning line to 7-1. The Champagne (G1) and Holy Bull (G3) winner has been well backed in all three KDFW pools. The 11-1 individual favorite in Pool 1, Tiz the Law was just shaded by Nadal when both closed at 8-1 in Pool 2.
San Vicente (G2) victor Nadal, a stablemate of Authentic’s from the deep Baffert barn, held steady to his 10-1 line in Pool 3. Baffert’s hot debut winner Charlatan likewise opened and closed at 12-1.
Honor A. P., who chased Authentic home in the San Felipe, also came in for plenty of support. The John Shirreffs pupil was bet down from a 20-1 morning line to 14-1 by Pool 3’s conclusion.
Churchill Downs reported that $356,668 was bet in Pool 3 ($260,270 in the Win pool and $96,398 in Exactas). Last year, the same pool handled $385,464 ($282,199 in the Win pool and $103,265 in Exactas). Pool 3 will-pays and exacta probables are accessible at these links.
The fourth and final Kentucky Derby Future Wager is set for the last major prep weekend, April 3-5.
Running concurrently with Pool 3 was the one and only Kentucky Oaks Future Wager, where the “All other 3-year-old fillies” option was favored at 3-1. Venetian Harbor, the smashing Las Virgenes (G2) winner, gave the mutuel field a run for the money by shortening from an 8-1 morning line to become the 4-1 individual favorite. Finite, who made it five straight in the Rachel Alexandra (G2), was trimmed from 10-1 to 8-1.
The Oaks Future Wager handled $101,841 ($74,065 in the Win pool and $27,776 in Exactas) compared to last year’s $88,652 ($65,252 in the Win pool and $23,400 in Exactas). Click here for the Oaks pool will-pays and exacta probables.
The lone Oaks/Derby Future double was also offered during the Friday-Sunday window, attracting $87,175 in handle compared to last year’s $78,546. The double probables are available here.
Kentucky Derby Future Wager
Pool 3/Race 3
| Horse Name | ML Odds | Final Odds | Gross Win Pool | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Authentic | 12-1 | 6-1 | $28,699.00 |
| 2 | Basin | 30-1 | 38-1 | $5,420.75 |
| 3 | Chance It | 30-1 | 53-1 | $3,963.25 |
| 4 | Charlatan | 12-1 | 12-1 | $15,769.00 |
| 5 | Enforceable | 30-1 | 23-1 | $8,941.75 |
| 6 | Ete Indien | 10-1 | 16-1 | $12,326.50 |
| 7 | Gouverneur Morris | 20-1 | 26-1 | $7,669.75 |
| 8 | Honor A. P. | 20-1 | 14-1 | $13,538.75 |
| 9 | Independence Hall | 20-1 | 27-1 | $7,490.50 |
| 10 | Major Fed | 50-1 | 42-1 | $4,901.50 |
| 11 | Max Player | 30-1 | 71-1 | $2,974.75 |
| 12 | Maxfield | 15-1 | 15-1 | $12,706.25 |
| 13 | Modernist | 20-1 | 35-1 | $5,930.00 |
| 14 | Nadal | 10-1 | 10-1 | $19,142.75 |
| 15 | Royal Act | 30-1 | 68-1 | $3,095.00 |
| 16 | Silver Prospector | 20-1 | 24-1 | $8,389.25 |
| 17 | Sole Volante | 12-1 | 20-1 | $9,988.75 |
| 18 | Spa City | 50-1 | 99-1 | $2,042.50 |
| 19 | Storm the Court | 30-1 | 60-1 | $3,469.00 |
| 20 | Thousand Words | 15-1 | 34-1 | $6,086.25 |
| 21 | Three Technique | 50-1 | 29-1 | $6,998.00 |
| 22 | Tiz the Law | 8-1 | 7-1 | $25,876.75 |
| 23 | Wells Bayou | 30-1 | 62-1 | $3,394.00 |
| 24 | All Other 3-Year-Old Males | 9-2 | 4-1 | $41,456.00 |
- Final $ odds based on $1 payoffs
- Pool Total: $260,270.00
- Merged Exacta Pool Total: $96,397.50
Kentucky Oaks Future Wager
Pool 1/Race 1
| Horse Name | Final Odds | Gross Win Pool | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alta’s Award | 59 | $1,018.00 |
| 2 | Auberge | 38 | $1,562.50 |
| 3 | British Idiom | 12 | $4,333.00 |
| 4 | Donna Veloce | 12 | $4,624.50 |
| 5 | Edgeway | 23 | $2,536.50 |
| 6 | Finite | 8 | $6,704.50 |
| 7 | Frank’s Rockette | 27 | $2,170.50 |
| 8 | Gingham | 50 | $1,179.50 |
| 9 | Harvey’s Lil Goil | 11 | $4,820.00 |
| 10 | Ice Princess | 47 | $1,250.50 |
| 11 | Lake Avenue | 18 | $3,195.25 |
| 12 | Lucrezia | 55 | $1,092.50 |
| 13 | Maedean | 71 | $838.75 |
| 14 | Magic Dance | 92 | $655.75 |
| 15 | Mo City | 99 | $561.75 |
| 16 | Motu | 99 | $533.75 |
| 17 | O Seraphina | SCR | |
| 18 | Spice Is Nice | 16 | $3,538.75 |
| 19 | Swiss Skydiver | 99 | $363.00 |
| 20 | Tonalist’s Shape | 9 | $5,786.75 |
| 21 | Turtle Trax | 99 | $541.25 |
| 22 | Venetian Harbor | 4 | $11,462.25 |
| 23 | Wicked Whisper | 41 | $1,426.00 |
| 24 | Mutuel Field (All Others) | 3 | $13,869.75 |
- Final $ odds based on $1 payoffs
- Pool Total: $74,065.00
- Merged Exacta Pool Total: $27,776.00
